Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037421 0.040373 0.043469 0.046963 0.050804 0.054901 0.059613
2025-05-11 0.032518 0.036664 0.041252 0.046724 0.053099 0.060323 0.069171
2025-05-18 0.029180 0.033994 0.039535 0.046428 0.054830 0.064811 0.077675
2025-05-25 0.026794 0.032042 0.038281 0.046311 0.056472 0.069033 0.085939
2025-06-01 0.024639 0.030106 0.036780 0.045622 0.057169 0.071936 0.092577
2025-06-08 0.022766 0.028334 0.035289 0.044734 0.057415 0.074129 0.098294
2025-06-15 0.021349 0.027017 0.034244 0.044285 0.058117 0.076866 0.104851
2025-06-22 0.020135 0.025867 0.033314 0.043879 0.058780 0.079512 0.111397
2025-06-29 0.018904 0.024610 0.032147 0.043040 0.058731 0.081084 0.116414
2025-07-06 0.018268 0.024109 0.031958 0.043523 0.060556 0.085432 0.125915
2025-07-13 0.017530 0.023420 0.031459 0.043511 0.061623 0.088688 0.133938
2025-07-20 0.017025 0.023024 0.031337 0.044020 0.063472 0.093222 0.144357
2025-07-27 0.016314 0.022306 0.030725 0.043777 0.064170 0.096036 0.152236
2025-08-03 0.015682 0.021668 0.030195 0.043617 0.064975 0.099059 0.160726
2025-08-10 0.015071 0.021031 0.029628 0.043359 0.065590 0.101787 0.168914
2025-08-17 0.014546 0.020495 0.029181 0.043254 0.066429 0.104923 0.178087
2025-08-24 0.013922 0.019782 0.028430 0.042620 0.066342 0.106452 0.184393
2025-08-31 0.013295 0.019037 0.027596 0.041802 0.065885 0.107288 0.189427
2025-09-07 0.012806 0.018483 0.027030 0.041389 0.066085 0.109281 0.196864
2025-09-14 0.012357 0.017971 0.026507 0.041015 0.066320 0.111336 0.204589
2025-09-21 0.011845 0.017340 0.025770 0.040241 0.065799 0.111952 0.209410
2025-09-28 0.011630 0.017169 0.025755 0.040687 0.067474 0.116774 0.223464
2025-10-05 0.011329 0.016847 0.025485 0.040675 0.068311 0.120049 0.234521